Cooperative Ecosystem Studes Unit, Great Rivers CESU | Apply Online

Opportunity Summary:

The Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit, Great Rivers CESU opportunity (Funding Opportunity Number G14AS00037) is a US Geological Survey (USGS) discretionary grant offered as a cooperative agreement to support applied research on how future precipitation patterns may affect wildfire frequency in the south-central United States. The project focus is specifically on Texas, Oklahoma, and New Mexico, with an emphasis on translating climate information into practical, spatially explicit wildfire risk metrics that can be used for ecosystem planning and management.

The core purpose of the work is to combine existing historical climate datasets with downscaled future climate projections to model how fire frequency and the probability of fire are likely to change across the region under one or more future climate scenarios and time horizons. In practical terms, the funded research is expected to take climate variables tied to precipitation (and related moisture conditions) and link them to fire occurrence patterns, producing projections that show where fires may become more common, less common, or shift seasonally or geographically as precipitation regimes change.

A major expected outcome is the identification of "climate fire thresholds" across the three-state area. These are locations where projected climate conditions cross critical boundaries that could lead to substantial ecological change, including heightened risk of ecosystem transitions such as desertification. The intent is not only to estimate changes in fire activity, but also to flag places where the climate-driven fire regime could push landscapes into different stable states, altering vegetation, fuels, and long-term ecosystem function.

The opportunity also calls for pinpointing areas expected to experience the greatest and the least change in fire frequency. This comparative element is important for decision-making because it helps land managers and researchers prioritize monitoring, mitigation, restoration, or preparedness efforts. Some areas may emerge as future hotspots of increased fire occurrence, while others may show declining fire probability or relatively stable fire regimes even under changing precipitation patterns.

A required deliverable is the production of digital maps that communicate the results clearly and usefully. These maps are expected to display projected changes in mean fire intervals (how often fires occur on average) and changes in fire probability (increases or decreases) across the region, and to do so under one or more future climate scenarios and across specified time intervals. The mapping requirement signals that the project is intended to generate actionable, geospatial products rather than purely theoretical findings, supporting regional planning and cross-jurisdictional coordination.

In terms of award structure and funding, USGS anticipated making one award with an estimated total funding amount of $110,039. The announcement lists no cost-sharing or matching requirement, lowering the barrier for eligible partners to participate. While the award ceiling and floor are shown as $0 in the listing, the total estimated funding indicates the approximate available amount for the single expected award.

Eligibility is limited: applicants must be participating partners of the Great Rivers Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit (CESU) Program. CESUs are collaborative partnerships designed to connect federal agencies with universities, research organizations, and other partners to provide research, technical assistance, and education. This means only institutions already affiliated with the Great Rivers CESU network (as recognized by the program) would be able to apply directly under this opportunity.

Administratively, the opportunity was posted March 4, 2014, with a closing date of March 14, 2014, and it was archived June 4, 2014. The CFDA number associated with the program is 15.808 (USGS Research and Data Collection). For assistance accessing the full announcement, the listed contact was Faith Graves at USGS (703-648-7356, fgraves@usgs.gov), and the general listing referenced grants.gov as the portal for the full opportunity details.

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