Opportunity Information: Apply for G16AS00070

  • The DOI-USGS1 in the science and technology and other research and development sector is offering a public funding opportunity titled "Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit, Rocky Mountain CESU" and is now available to receive applicants.
  • Interested and eligible applicants and submit their applications by referencing the CFDA number(s): 15.808.
  • This funding opportunity was created on May 23, 2016 and posted on May 23, 2016.
  • Applicants must submit their applications by Jun 06, 2016. (Agency may still review applications by suitable applicants for the remaining/unused allocated funding in 2026.)
  • Each selected applicant is eligible to receive up to $65,000.00 in funding.
  • The number of recipients for this funding is limited to 1 candidate(s).
  • Eligible applicants include: Others (see text field entitled Additional Information on Eligibility for clarification).
Apply for G16AS00070

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Opportunity Summary:

This grant opportunity, titled "Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit, Rocky Mountain CESU" (Funding Opportunity Number G16AS00070), is a discretionary U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) funding call managed through the USGS Fort Collins Science Center. The project is set up as a cooperative agreement, meaning the selected recipient is expected to work closely with federal partners rather than operate fully independently. The core purpose is to support applied research that improves how the National Park Service (NPS) understands and predicts annual recreational visitation across the National Park System.

The problem the opportunity is trying to solve is straightforward: the NPS has a very long-running record of visitor use data, dating back to at least 1904, and that information is used for many practical needs such as park planning, operational decisions, and communicating how parks contribute to ecosystem service benefits for visitors and surrounding communities and economies. Even with that long history of data, the methods typically used to forecast future visitation are described as relatively basic, relying heavily on simple trend analysis and professional judgment from park staff. USGS and NPS are signaling that this approach is no longer sufficient for the kinds of management decisions parks face, and that there is a clear need for more rigorous statistical and econometric modeling that can produce forecasts that are both accurate and defensible.

The work being funded centers on identifying and modeling the factors that influence annual NPS visitation and then using those relationships to build valid forecasting models. In practice, this implies an econometric research effort that can go beyond projecting past patterns forward and instead account for drivers of visitation and changing conditions over time. The end goal is to deliver forecasting tools or models that the NPS can use to better anticipate visitor demand at some of the country's most high-profile protected places, which in turn can improve staffing, infrastructure planning, visitor experience management, resource protection strategies, and broader policy decisions connected to recreation and tourism.

Eligibility is limited to partners within the Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit (CESU) network, specifically the Rocky Mountain CESU, and the opportunity explicitly seeks a partner with demonstrated capability in econometric modeling of annual visitation. The project is expected to be collaborative: in addition to working directly with the USGS Fort Collins Science Center, the recipient is also expected to coordinate closely with a statistician from the NPS Social Science Program to support the analysis. The overall arrangement emphasizes joint development of the research program and delivery of final products that can be used in direct support of NPS management needs, with the expectation that findings will be relevant not only at the park level but also for regional and national decision-making related to visitor use in parks and other protected areas.

In terms of funding and timing, the award ceiling is $65,000 and USGS anticipated making one award. The opportunity was posted and created on May 23, 2016, with an application deadline of June 6, 2016. The funding activity falls under Science and Technology and other Research and Development and is associated with CFDA number 15.808. Overall, the grant is a targeted, single-award research investment intended to bring stronger statistical forecasting capability to NPS visitation planning by leveraging combined expertise from USGS, NPS social science staff, and a qualified CESU partner.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

What is the title of this grant opportunity?

The opportunity is titled "Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit, Rocky Mountain CESU."

What is the Funding Opportunity Number (FON)?

The Funding Opportunity Number is G16AS00070.

Which federal agency is offering this funding?

This is a discretionary funding opportunity from the U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey (USGS).

Which USGS office is managing the opportunity?

The opportunity is managed through the USGS Fort Collins Science Center.

What type of award is this (grant vs. cooperative agreement)?

This project is set up as a cooperative agreement. That means the selected recipient is expected to work closely with federal partners rather than operating fully independently.

What is the main purpose of the project?

The core purpose is to support applied research that improves how the National Park Service (NPS) understands and predicts annual recreational visitation across the National Park System.

What problem is this project trying to address?

The NPS has long-running visitor use data dating back to at least 1904, but forecasting methods are described as relatively basic, often relying on simple trend analysis and professional judgment. USGS and NPS indicate there is a need for more rigorous statistical and econometric modeling to produce forecasts that are accurate and defensible for management decisions.

What kind of research is being funded?

The funded work focuses on identifying and modeling the factors that influence annual NPS visitation, and using those relationships to build valid forecasting models. This implies an econometric research effort that goes beyond projecting past patterns forward by accounting for drivers of visitation and changing conditions over time.

What outcomes or products are expected from the project?

The intended end goal is to deliver forecasting tools or models that the NPS can use to better anticipate visitor demand. These outputs are meant to support NPS management needs, with relevance at park, regional, and national decision-making levels related to visitor use in parks and other protected areas.

How will the results be used by the National Park Service?

The improved forecasting capability is intended to support staffing decisions, infrastructure planning, visitor experience management, resource protection strategies, and broader policy decisions connected to recreation and tourism.

Who is eligible to apply?

Eligibility is limited to partners within the Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit (CESU) network, specifically the Rocky Mountain CESU.

Is there a specific expertise the applicant is expected to have?

Yes. The opportunity explicitly seeks a partner with demonstrated capability in econometric modeling of annual visitation.

How collaborative is the work expected to be?

The project is expected to be collaborative. The recipient will work directly with the USGS Fort Collins Science Center and is expected to coordinate closely with a statistician from the NPS Social Science Program to support the analysis. The arrangement emphasizes joint development of the research program and delivery of final products for direct NPS management use.

How many awards does USGS expect to make?

USGS anticipated making one award.

What is the maximum funding amount (award ceiling)?

The award ceiling is $65,000.

When was the opportunity posted/created?

The opportunity was posted and created on May 23, 2016.

What was the application deadline?

The application deadline was June 6, 2016.

What funding category or activity does this opportunity fall under?

The funding activity falls under Science and Technology and other Research and Development.

What is the CFDA number associated with this opportunity?

The opportunity is associated with CFDA number 15.808.

Does the project focus on a single park or the entire National Park System?

The purpose is framed around annual recreational visitation across the National Park System. The findings are expected to be relevant at park, regional, and national levels.

Why is econometric modeling emphasized instead of simple trend forecasting?

The opportunity notes that common forecasting approaches rely heavily on trend analysis and professional judgment, and that this is no longer sufficient for current management needs. Econometric modeling is emphasized to better identify drivers of visitation and produce forecasts that are more rigorous, accurate, and defensible.

What makes this opportunity "targeted"?

It is described as a targeted, single-award applied research investment with a specific objective: strengthening statistical forecasting capability for NPS visitation planning by leveraging combined expertise from USGS, NPS social science staff, and a qualified Rocky Mountain CESU partner.

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