Opportunity Information: Apply for 10HQPA0029

  • The Geological Survey in the science and technology and other research and development sector is offering a public funding opportunity titled "Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit, Gulf Coast CESU" and is now available to receive applicants.
  • Interested and eligible applicants and submit their applications by referencing the CFDA number(s): 15.808 U.S. Geological Survey Research and Data Collection.
  • This funding opportunity was created on Jan 20, 2010 and posted on Jan 20, 2010.
  • Applicants must submit their applications by Jan 29, 2010. (Agency may still review applications by suitable applicants for the remaining/unused allocated funding in 2026.)
  • The funding agency has allocated a total of $258,137.00 to eligible and selected applicants.
  • The number of recipients for this funding is limited to 1 candidate(s).
  • Eligible applicants include: Others (see text field entitled Additional Information on Eligibility for clarification).
  • This financial assistance opportunity is being issued under a Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit (CESU) Program. CESU s are partnerships that provide research, technical assistance, and education. Eligible recipients must be a participating partner of the Gulf Coast Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit (CESU) Program.
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Opportunity Summary:

This Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit (CESU) Gulf Coast opportunity (Funding Opportunity Number 10HQPA0029) is a U.S. Geological Survey cooperative agreement focused on producing high resolution regional climate information for Florida and the adjacent southeastern United States. The core purpose is to generate and analyze regional climate predictions for two separate 30 year windows: a recent historical period (1971 to 2000) and a mid to late century future period (2041 to 2070). The 1971 to 2000 window is intended to function as a control period, taking advantage of extensive observational records (such as rainfall and evapotranspiration) to evaluate model performance and establish a consistent baseline for comparing future changes. The 2041 to 2070 window is selected to align with the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP), which emphasizes that the climate change signal is expected to be more stable and detectable by that timeframe and, importantly, that it is still close enough to matter for real world planning by resource management agencies.

The technical work centers on dynamical downscaling, meaning the project is expected to run regional climate models at finer spatial detail than many continental scale projections. NARCCAP produces projections over North America at roughly 50 km horizontal resolution using an ensemble approach that combines six regional climate models with four IPCC AR4 atmosphere ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs). In this grant, USGS is seeking additional downscaling to approximately 10 km resolution for peninsular Florida and nearby parts of the Southeast, drawing from three of the four AOGCMs used within NARCCAP. This finer resolution is meant to better capture local and regional features that strongly influence Florida climate, such as coastlines, land surface characteristics, and mesoscale circulation patterns, and to deliver outputs that are more usable for applied decision making.

A major added emphasis is examining how land use and land cover (LULC) change interacts with greenhouse gas driven forcing. Rather than treating future climate change as only a function of atmospheric composition, the project explicitly considers that shifts in urbanization, agriculture, vegetation cover, and other land surface changes can alter evapotranspiration, surface energy balance, and regional circulation, thereby modifying temperature and precipitation patterns. A key deliverable is therefore not just future climate projections, but an assessment of how much projected change and uncertainty may be attributable to greenhouse gas concentration changes versus LULC changes, and how these drivers may combine.

The expected outputs are framed as assessments of multiple climate and impact relevant metrics for Florida and the adjacent Southeast. These include changes in precipitation and temperature patterns, changes in the seasonal cycle and its timing (phenology of climate seasons), and changes in the frequency of derived indices such as freeze or chill days, extreme heat days, frost days, and wildfire threat indicators. The work also calls for evaluating changes in broader regional behavior such as mean circulation, average precipitation, evapotranspiration, and surface temperature. Alongside these results, the project is expected to quantify and discuss uncertainties across these categories, especially uncertainties tied to greenhouse gas pathways and land cover assumptions, and to support USGS scientists in interpreting model outputs so they can be used appropriately in downstream science and management contexts.

From an administrative standpoint, this is a discretionary funding opportunity using a cooperative agreement mechanism, meaning substantial involvement or collaboration with the federal agency is typically anticipated. The activity category is Science and Technology and other Research and Development, and the CFDA number listed is 15.808 (U.S. Geological Survey Research and Data Collection). The opportunity anticipated a single award with an estimated total funding amount of $258,137, with no stated cost sharing or matching requirement. Eligibility is restricted to organizations that are already participating partners in the Gulf Coast Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit (CESU) Program, reflecting the CESU model as a partnership framework for research, technical assistance, and education. The posting date was January 20, 2010, with an original and current closing date of January 29, 2010, and an archive date of February 28, 2010. The listed point of contact is Faith Graves, Contract Specialist, at 703-648-7356.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

What is this funding opportunity?

This is a U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit (CESU) Gulf Coast cooperative agreement opportunity, Funding Opportunity Number 10HQPA0029. It supports work to produce high resolution regional climate information for Florida and the adjacent southeastern United States.

What is the main purpose of the project?

The project is focused on generating and analyzing regional climate predictions for Florida and nearby parts of the Southeast, with outputs designed to be more usable for applied decision making and resource management planning.

What time periods must be analyzed?

The opportunity calls for two separate 30-year windows:

  • 1971 to 2000 (recent historical period, used as a control/baseline)
  • 2041 to 2070 (mid to late century future period)

Why is the 1971 to 2000 period included?

The 1971 to 2000 window is intended to serve as a control period. It leverages extensive observational records (for example, rainfall and evapotranspiration) to evaluate model performance and establish a consistent baseline for comparing future changes.

Why is the 2041 to 2070 period selected?

The 2041 to 2070 window is chosen to align with the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP). NARCCAP emphasizes that the climate change signal is expected to be more stable and detectable by that timeframe while still being relevant for real-world planning by resource management agencies.

What technical approach is expected?

The work centers on dynamical downscaling, meaning running regional climate models at finer spatial detail than many broader-scale projections.

What is NARCCAP and how does it relate to this project?

NARCCAP is an effort that produces climate projections over North America at roughly 50 km horizontal resolution using an ensemble approach (six regional climate models combined with four IPCC AR4 atmosphere-ocean general circulation models, or AOGCMs). This opportunity builds on that foundation by seeking additional downscaling for Florida and nearby areas.

What spatial resolution is USGS seeking for this effort?

The opportunity seeks downscaling to approximately 10 km resolution for peninsular Florida and nearby parts of the Southeast.

How many global climate models are intended to be used?

The opportunity specifies drawing from three of the four AOGCMs used within NARCCAP.

Why does finer (around 10 km) resolution matter for Florida?

The finer resolution is meant to better represent local and regional features that strongly influence Florida climate, including coastlines, land surface characteristics, and mesoscale circulation patterns, and to produce outputs that are more useful for applied decision making.

How does land use and land cover (LULC) factor into the project?

A major emphasis is examining how LULC change interacts with greenhouse gas-driven forcing. The project explicitly considers that changes such as urbanization, agriculture, and vegetation cover can affect evapotranspiration, surface energy balance, and regional circulation, which can in turn modify temperature and precipitation patterns.

What is a key deliverable related to LULC versus greenhouse gas forcing?

A key deliverable is an assessment of how much projected change and uncertainty may be attributable to greenhouse gas concentration changes versus LULC changes, and how these drivers may combine.

What types of climate variables and metrics are expected in the outputs?

The expected outputs are framed as assessments of multiple climate and impact-relevant metrics for Florida and the adjacent Southeast, including:

  • Changes in precipitation patterns
  • Changes in temperature patterns
  • Changes in the seasonal cycle and timing (phenology of climate seasons)
  • Changes in the frequency of derived indices (examples include freeze/chill days, extreme heat days, frost days, and wildfire threat indicators)

Are broader regional climate behaviors included in the evaluation?

Yes. The work calls for evaluating changes in broader regional behavior such as mean circulation, average precipitation, evapotranspiration, and surface temperature.

Is uncertainty analysis part of the expected work?

Yes. The project is expected to quantify and discuss uncertainties across the climate and impact-relevant categories, with particular attention to uncertainties tied to greenhouse gas pathways and land cover assumptions.

How is USGS expected to be involved during the project?

This is a cooperative agreement, which indicates substantial involvement or collaboration with the federal agency is typically anticipated. The opportunity also notes support for USGS scientists in interpreting model outputs so they can be used appropriately in downstream science and management contexts.

What is the funding mechanism and funding type?

The opportunity is discretionary funding using a cooperative agreement mechanism.

What is the activity category?

The activity category is Science and Technology and other Research and Development.

What CFDA number is associated with this opportunity?

The CFDA number listed is 15.808 (U.S. Geological Survey Research and Data Collection).

How many awards are anticipated and what is the estimated total funding?

The opportunity anticipated a single award with an estimated total funding amount of $258,137.

Is cost sharing or matching required?

No cost sharing or matching requirement is stated in the opportunity information provided.

Who is eligible to apply?

Eligibility is restricted to organizations that are already participating partners in the Gulf Coast Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit (CESU) Program.

What is the posting date, closing date, and archive date?

  • Posting date: January 20, 2010
  • Original and current closing date: January 29, 2010
  • Archive date: February 28, 2010

Who is the point of contact for this opportunity?

The listed point of contact is Faith Graves, Contract Specialist, reachable at 703-648-7356.

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