Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit, Pacific Northwest CESU | Apply Online

Opportunity Summary:

This grant opportunity (Funding Opportunity Number 10HQPA0028) was a US Geological Survey (USGS) Western Fisheries Research Center solicitation issued through the Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit (CESU) Network, specifically the Pacific Northwest CESU. It funded science and technology research under a cooperative agreement, with an estimated total of $90,000 and an expectation of one award. There was no cost sharing or matching requirement. The opportunity was posted January 20, 2010, and closed January 29, 2010 (archived February 28, 2010).

The core purpose of the project was to support research that develops downscaled climate projection models for select coastal watersheds and estuaries in Washington and Oregon: Willapa Bay, WA; Netarts Bay, OR; Yaquina Bay, OR; Coos Bay, OR; and the Coquille River, OR. The USGS sought downscaling work that could translate broad, global climate projections into locally relevant information at much finer spatial and temporal resolution. In practical terms, the project aimed to produce high-resolution (approximately 2 km) monthly datasets spanning the 21st century for key variables that strongly influence estuarine and watershed ecosystems: air temperature, precipitation, coastal upwelling, and riverine inflow patterns.

A major emphasis was not only generating the projections themselves, but also carefully quantifying uncertainty. The announcement highlights that, while there have been large investments in global-scale climate modeling, those outputs often lack the resolution needed for decisions about specific habitats, species, and management actions in individual estuaries. The funded research was expected to provide a robust accounting of where uncertainty and variability come from in the downscaled products, and how large those uncertainties are. This includes uncertainty introduced by the downscaling methodology, differences among climate models, scenario assumptions, and natural variability in the climate system, all of which can materially affect interpretations of future conditions in these coastal environments.

The requested work also called for scenario-based projections using at least three greenhouse gas emissions pathways covering low, medium, and high ranges. The announcement indicates the intent to use ensemble regional modeling simulations, meaning the projections should draw on multiple model runs (and potentially multiple models) to better characterize the spread of plausible futures rather than relying on a single deterministic output. By delivering downscaled, scenario-based datasets for temperature, precipitation, upwelling, and inflows, the project was designed to strengthen the ability of resource managers and scientists to evaluate regional climate change impacts on fish and wildlife and their habitats in Washington and Oregon estuaries, especially in the context of ongoing climate warming and sea level rise along the Pacific Coast.

Eligibility was limited to partners within the Pacific Northwest CESU program, reflecting the CESU structure as a collaboration among agencies, universities, and other partners that provide research, technical assistance, and education capacity to federal land and resource managers. The administering agency was the USGS (CFDA 15.808, U.S. Geological Survey Research and Data Collection). The listed point of contact for access issues was Faith Graves, Contract Specialist, at 703-648-7356.

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